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Where will China’s Tiangong-1 satellite crash to Earth? Analysts reveal areas with ‘highest probability’ of impact

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Chinese satellite will crash into Earth within weeks - here's where it will hit
This satellite is about to smash into our planet (Credit: CMSE)

An out-of control Chinese space station is expected to hit Earth within weeks.

The Tiangong-1 satellite is about to smash into Earth and is expected to hit us on April 3.

It’s been claimed it could smash into the American state of Michigan.

Northern China, central Italy, northern Spain, the Middle East, New Zealand, Tasmania, South America, southern Africa, and northern states in the US have also been identified as the regions with a high chance of impact.

As if that wasn’t scary enough, it’s been claimed the Tiangong-1 space station is packed full of a toxic and corrosive chemical called hydrazine.

This nasty stuff is used in rocket fuel and long-term exposure is believed to cause cancer in humans.

Tiangong-1 space station (Picture: China Manned Space Engineering Office)
The Tiangong-1 space station (Picture: China Manned Space Engineering Office)
Mandatory Credit: Photo by HAP/Quirky China News/REX/Shutterstock (2587648e) Shenzhou-10 spacecraft docking with Tiangong-1 space module Chinese astronauts enter orbiting Tiangong-1 space module from Shenzhou-10 spacecraft - 13 Jun 2013 The three astronauts of the Shenzhou-10 spacecraft entered space module Tiangong-1 on Thursday afternoon June 13th, said the Beijing Aerospace Control Center (BACC).
Chinese astronauts enter orbiting Tiangong-1 space module (Photo: Rex)

It is being carried aboard the Tiangong-1, which is hurtling towards Earth and due to hit in March.

Although most of the craft will burn up when it ploughs into the atmosphere, between 10 and 40 percent of its mass could survive and plunge to Earth.

It will probably fall into the ocean and Britain is not believed to be in the firing line.

Here’s what Aerospace, a space research non-profit based in California, said about the risk: ‘There is a chance that a small amount of Tiangong-1 debris may survive reentry and impact the ground. Should this happen, any surviving debris would fall within a region that is a few hundred kilometres in size and centred along a point on the Earth that the station passes over.’

China's Tiangong-1 space module due for lunch in July. China's experimental craft will pave the way for its first space station later in the year.TH11-CHINA_SPACE_804693f.jpg
This photo taken during the construction of the satellite gives a sense of its size
JIUQUAN, CHINA - SEPTEMBER 29: (CHINA OUT) A Long March 2FT1 rocket carrying Tiangong-1, China's first unmanned space module, blasts off from the Jiuquan Satellite Launch Center on September 29, 2011 in Jiuquan, Gansu Province of China. The unmanned Tiangong-1 will stay in orbit for two years and dock with China's Shenzhou-8, -9 and -10 spacecraft with the eventual goal of establishing a manned Chinese space station around 2020. (Photo by VCG via Getty Images)
It blasted into space in 2011 aboard a Long March rocket (Photo: VCG via Getty Images)
Chinese satellite will crash into Earth within weeks - here's where it will hit
A view of the Jiuquan Satellite Launch Centre in China taken on June 3, 2013 (Photo: VCG/ VCG via Getty Images)

Earlier this year, Aerospace also issued a warning about the contents of the satellite.

It wrote: ‘Potentially, there may be a highly toxic and corrosive substance called hydrazine on board the spacecraft that could survive re-entry.

‘For your safety, do not touch any debris you may find on the ground nor inhale vapours it may emit.’

Hydrazine is generally found as a colourless, oily liquid, although it can sometimes take the form of a white crystalline powder.

Short exposure to can result in irritation of the eyes, nose, and throat as well as dizziness, headache, nausea, pulmonary edema, seizures and even coma, according to the United States Environmental Protection Agency.

On September 14, 2016, China made an official statement predicting Tiangong-1 would reenter the atmosphere in the latter half of 2017.

It’s now believed the collision will take place sometime in March 2018 and the out of control spacecraft could hit Spain, Italy, Turkey, India and parts of the US.

More: Weird

Holger Krag, head of the European Space Agency’s Space Debris Office, said there was no telling where it could fall.

She said: ‘The date, time and geographic footprint of the re-entry can only be predicted with large uncertainties.

‘Even shortly before re-entry, only a very large time and geographical window can be estimated.’

Although you probably don’t want to be standing anywhere near Tiangong-1 when it crashes to Earth, it may give you some comfort to know that falling man-made space debris has never killed a human here on Earth.

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